Useless-Thrush
0x6e0254bd74e592700ef62d70201b936038dbbfce
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-71.9K
Realised
$0.48
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
9995 shares @ 49.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.2K
$1.3K
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.70
$-0.80
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$0.70
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.18
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
684949 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
395970 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.2K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
80000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-288.88
- NO
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
5000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
4500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-719.49
- YES
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?
2500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.22May 30, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$58.82May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.0KMay 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.3KMay 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$917.16May 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.8KMay 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.8KMay 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.63May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.68May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.24May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.22May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.26May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.06May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.46May 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.25May 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.43May 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.14May 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$70.65May 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.60May 29, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $870.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".