Bite-Sized-Fen
0x6e6ceb124dbda7711e09de01775ed8329ed7e358
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$14.0K
Total PnL
$-341.70
Realised
$-248.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2711 shares @ 73.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$19.96
- NO
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
2151 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$10.75
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2125 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.0K
$7.44
- NO
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?
1151 shares @ 86.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$12.79
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1099 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$5.50
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
1053 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$5.27
- NO
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
1053 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$5.26
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1075 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$994.62
$-5.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
1042 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$979.17
$-20.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1087 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$972.83
$-27.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.27Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1000.00Jul 17, 18:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.0KJul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$21.00Jul 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$21.00Jul 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$21.00Jul 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$19.34Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.66Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?$1.0KJul 16, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$1.0KJul 16, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1000.00Jul 16, 02:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.0KJul 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?$2.0KJul 14, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.