Fumbling-Buffalo
0x6e6f5100321c99bc6a9f7e6d1bb2320835c6094d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$16.38
Total PnL
$-7.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 58.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.14
$2.14
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$3.70
$1.70
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- OVER
Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 9.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-4.5)$1.00Mar 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5$1.00Mar 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-12.5)$1.00Mar 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "DHS" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Mar 13, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$1.33Mar 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.47Mar 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.47Mar 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Jan 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$1.00Jan 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 13, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions$1.52Jan 13, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in December?$2.08Jan 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 11:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".