Faithful-Trek
0x6e7306de21f1484a8f2f26d76d295cbf70bfa236
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$9.8K
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$-6.8K
Win rate
31%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4500 shares @ 66.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$433.58
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
3876 shares @ 69.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$493.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2250 shares @ 77.5¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.7K
$-50.35
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
800 shares @ 79.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$764.40
$126.40
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
497 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$493.62
$120.80
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3182 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$154.33
$21.87
- YES
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$45.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.75
$-4.75
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
217 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-28.08
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
3000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$50.00Jul 28, 15:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$82.00Jul 26, 19:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$67.20Jul 25, 14:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$16.80Jul 24, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$1.80Jul 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$1.28Jul 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$0.47Jul 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$1.98Jul 24, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$179.83Jul 23, 14:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$760.35Jul 22, 14:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $74.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.