Irritating-Transparency
0x6e81749ae7578ac46b44817fe0c663c83709864b
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$44.87
Total PnL
$-29.08
Realised
$0.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.40
$0.00
- YES
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$8.70
$-10.10
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
23 shares @ 53.6¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.11
$-5.38
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$6.00
$0.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.50
$-4.30
- YES
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.00
$-6.00
- YES
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.16
$-3.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$7.801h ago
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$8.0215h ago
- REWARD$6.2615h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$11.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$9.1617h ago
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$4.8019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?$8.001d ago
- REWARD$6.842d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$16.402d ago
- TRADESELLJames Comey mugshot released by May 5?$17.202d ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey mugshot released by May 5?$18.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$6.003d ago
- REWARD$2.254d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.004d ago
- MERGEWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Ceasefire" this week?$19.624d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Ceasefire" this week?$11.974d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Ceasefire" this week?$9.404d ago
- REWARD$1.845d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?$0.005d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?$0.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".