Droopy-Dhow-Sanity
0x6ef6c0a9dbc8ddd78554c70ce5e86633f5e792e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-227.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?
3128 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$54.93
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: July
1529 shares @ 78.5¢·now 77.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$-10.12
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1019 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$999.49
$-0.51
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1040 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$999.48
$-0.52
- NO
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
1072 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$997.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1724 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$456.90
$-43.10
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
324 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
437 shares @ 22.9¢·now 22.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.79
$-0.21
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.83
$-4.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$100.00Jul 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?$0.05Jul 25, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?$4.96Jul 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?$0.03Jul 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?$0.01Jul 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?$5.00Jul 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?$62.94Jul 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$1.0KJul 25, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$1000.00Jul 25, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$200.00Jul 25, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$500.00Jul 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$100.00Jul 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$50.00Jul 25, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$987.24Jul 25, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$13.71Jul 25, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.19Jul 25, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.67Jul 25, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 25, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$100.00Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $318.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.