0x6f835e4671e6f556d2367f9d7861ef33e3f1e34b
0x6f835e4671e6f556d2367f9d7861ef33e3f1e34b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$141.87
Total PnL
$-977.48
Realised
$-320.20
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
109 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$109.47
$67.87
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.20
$2.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
59 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.20
$-7.38
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-194.99
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-104.99
- NO
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
200 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: March$0.00May 30, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: March$89.31May 30, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$11.69May 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$0.00May 13, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$199.90May 13, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$70.68May 12, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$16.00Apr 8, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$100.00Apr 4, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$36.75Apr 4, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$4.85Apr 4, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$30.28Apr 3, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$21.08Apr 3, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$3.20Apr 3, 01:06 UTC
- REWARD$4.67Apr 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$1.28Apr 2, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$7.29Apr 2, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$9.10Apr 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$10.75Apr 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$77.18Apr 2, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$46.80Apr 2, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.