Violet-Kohlrabi
0x6fb868e4bc34c8be25d8b6dad58f395bdb0d48f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$661.80
Total PnL
$-418.50
Realised
$14.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
386 shares @ 9.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.94
$21.22
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
65 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$48.75
$8.45
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
130 shares @ 27.9¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.50
$9.20
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$43.00
$-13.00
- NO
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.30
$10.40
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.10
$0.05
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
146 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$39.37
$2.91
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
290 shares @ 23.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.15
$-29.65
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.85
$26.95
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
90 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.45
$-0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?$19.03Jul 4, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?$2.56Jul 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?$9.10Jul 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$10.40Jul 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$22.00Jul 4, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$37.77Jul 4, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.52Jul 4, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$32.57Jul 4, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$37.69Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026?$13.17Jul 4, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?$35.73Jul 3, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?$11.37Jul 3, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?$37.97Jul 3, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$17.60Jul 3, 17:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?$16.00Jul 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$11.53Jul 2, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$28.77Jul 2, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.