Fake-Guard
0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$749.5K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
255555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$253.4K
$125.6K
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
255555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$158.2K
$30.4K
- NO
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
144000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$142.8K
$70.8K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
255555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.4K
$-30.4K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
77778 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$76.3K
$37.4K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.5K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77777 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.7K
$116.67
- YES
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
255555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.2K
$-125.6K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
77778 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-37.4K
- YES
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?
1393 shares @ 37.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$791.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Women's Sports" this week?$172.32Jun 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$15.53Jun 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$68.35Jun 23, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Air Force" this week?$335.95Jun 23, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during Pennsylvania events?$67.94Jun 23, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during Pennsylvania events?$320.37Jun 23, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during Pennsylvania events?$256.91Jun 23, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "President Xi" during Pennsylvania events?$239.59Jun 23, 21:12 UTC
- MERGEWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$2.12Jun 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$514.12Jun 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$0.14Jun 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$0.14Jun 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$1.21Jun 23, 20:20 UTC
- MERGEWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$52.88Jun 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$9.86Jun 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" this week?$71.97Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Pennsylvania events?$34.66Jun 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?$49.91Jun 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week?$184.62Jun 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 23?$697.95Jun 23, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 29, 22:10 UTC → May 29, 22:02 UTC
- SELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$10.0K@99¢May 29, 22:02 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.0K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $154.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.