0x704392da8fa6022001d3205025b0b2750738a415
0x704392da8fa6022001d3205025b0b2750738a415
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$376.70
Total PnL
$-11.85
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
27 shares @ 35.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$27.00
$17.31
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$25.00
$4.75
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
49 shares @ 51.1¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.36
$-0.48
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
48 shares @ 51.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.24
$-0.43
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
42 shares @ 47.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.66
$0.80
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.02
$0.24
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 90.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.74
$0.84
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
17 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$17.00
$7.31
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.00
$5.10
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.36
$4.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.