Cylindrical-Tiger
0x70833fae3bec68f0256807ec1dcc586692a349f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$329.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2051 shares @ 80.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.0K
$329.16
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
949 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$949.00
$47.45
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1084 shares @ 63.7¢·now 80.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$874.48
$183.76
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
517 shares @ 80.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$502.33
$86.10
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
264 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$225.42
$46.14
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
238 shares @ 59.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$190.19
$49.80
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
300 shares @ 46.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.50
$-22.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.00
$13.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.96
$12.96
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.36
$12.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.20Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.