0x7096ff85eb930c045315ab77a2242944528df4f0
0x7096ff85eb930c045315ab77a2242944528df4f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$29.58
Total PnL
$-247.10
Realised
$-23.87
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 21.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.56
$3.09
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 71.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.25
$0.26
- NO
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in April?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.14
$0.15
- NO
Stripe IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$1.09
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 54.9¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.78
$-4.22
- OVER
Blues vs. Kings: O/U 4.5
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ODD
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- BLUES
Blues vs. Kings
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon register any party before 2027?$1.87Apr 22, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$0.01Apr 22, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$3.08Apr 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$2.72Apr 18, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?$2.57Apr 14, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?$0.01Apr 12, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?$0.01Apr 12, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.19Apr 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?$2.22Apr 6, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)$5.49Apr 6, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$3.30Apr 4, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.54Apr 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$2.78Apr 3, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$11.00Apr 3, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$1.67Apr 3, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$3.06Apr 3, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMGui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5$5.05Apr 3, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMFlames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5$6.00Apr 3, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5$9.26Apr 3, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.