Made-Up-Beating-Sociology
0x70f3f3ce555e2fcee4e6d39559a3f8c6cd982822
active
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-549.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
108370 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4797 shares @ 29.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$106.45
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
49995 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$924.91
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
152505 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$762.52
$-2.3K
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
10024 shares @ 5.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$365.88
$-146.37
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
4804 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 14, 2026$160.93
$70.93
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
2083 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.29
$-42.71
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.20
$-13.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$198.883d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$0.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$221.975d ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$350.205d ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$180.755d ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$0.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$167.7511d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?$0.0011d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?$0.0011d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?$0.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$700.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$340.0012d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$404.7514d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$695.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$43.3514d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?$64.2416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?$47.1116d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$35.0016d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $259.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 24d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.