Made-Up-Beating-Sociology
0x70f3f3ce555e2fcee4e6d39559a3f8c6cd982822
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$175.88
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
23777 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.78
$-725.45
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
10024 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.11
$-467.14
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
195609 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
130619 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
4804 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.40May 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$58.01May 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.20May 8, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$28.08May 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$42.63May 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$88.39May 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$330.63May 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.4KMay 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$256.23May 1, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.00May 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 1, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$103.99Apr 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.3KApr 28, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$140.00Apr 26, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$198.88Apr 21, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$0.00Apr 20, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$0.00Apr 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$221.97Apr 19, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$350.20Apr 19, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$180.75Apr 19, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $296.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.