Specific-Shaker
0x710dc593d792853f2c103100e7f081ffdaaa02aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-795.53
Win rate
28%
113 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
550 shares @ 57.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$343.89
$27.03
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$275.01
$-145.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 66.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$195.75
$-104.05
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 63.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$182.70
$49.49
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?
235 shares @ 30.8¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$108.10
$35.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 60.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$84.60
$12.00
- YES
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
700 shares @ 13.9¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$83.97
$-13.17
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
90 shares @ 41.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.25
$-7.85
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 25.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.34
$1.65
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 45.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.25
$-54.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 28?$9.30Jul 28, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 28?$3.85Jul 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 28?$8.16Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 28?$1.34Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.86Jul 28, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$3.00Jul 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$9.01Jul 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$9.00Jul 28, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 28?$10.04Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$8.90Jul 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 28?$0.54Jul 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 28?$8.47Jul 28, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$9.00Jul 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 29?$0.52Jul 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$3.16Jul 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.66Jul 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.09Jul 28, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 27?$10.00Jul 28, 05:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 113 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
113 closed markets, 28% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 113 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.