Youthful-Birth
0x71587aff3d063868a086574dcf9a86ab153a5439
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-775.0K
Realised
$-182.0K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1874 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$136.02
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
435021 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-309.8K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
138093 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-108.2K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
113769 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.9K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
65053 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-61.5K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
54550 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.0K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
26601 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
21322 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1220 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.75Jul 19, 16:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $514.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.