Wry-Fluke
0x723d3f6b5e2cc46b2910ab7ba982b18f971690c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$140.73
Total PnL
$-73.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
509 shares @ 7.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.88
$25.88
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$24.49
$9.58
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
35 shares @ 56.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.80
$-2.80
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
25 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.25
$2.50
- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$-16.25
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$-14.85
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$3.75
$-16.25
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
28 shares @ 34.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.96
$-6.84
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$51.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$13.58Jun 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.33Jun 13, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$47.00Jun 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$5.50Jun 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.75Jun 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.75Jun 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.75Jun 6, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$11.09Jun 6, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$4.91Jun 6, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$3.60Jun 6, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$15.45May 31, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$14.87May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$0.13May 24, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.25May 24, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 15, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 15, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 15, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$0.00May 15, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$41.47May 15, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.