Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-20.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 8153.3h
- 06:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8153h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.8pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.8pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.7pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.8pp
to 5¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.8pp
to 5¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.8pp
to 5¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.8pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.2pp
to 3¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.6pp
to 3¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.1pp
to 4¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.7pp
to 2¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.1pp
to 4¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.4pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 8¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.2pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.9pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.6pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.8pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.2pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.2pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.6pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.3pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Mar 31, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (8.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).