Swift-Notice
0x72a17d9c726825abd78575153b809e9cbcac1950
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
139
Open notional
$554.69
Total PnL
$-18.4K
Realised
$128.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2439 shares @ 8.2¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$308.54
$108.54
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
465 shares @ 6.3¢·now 13.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$63.21
$33.93
- YES
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.99
$17.99
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
526 shares @ 11.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.83
$-38.17
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.79
$-4.21
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.58
$-34.42
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.28
$-34.72
- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
641 shares @ 31.2¢·now 2.2¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$14.10
$-185.90
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
226 shares @ 8.8¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.38
$-10.62
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
133 shares @ 22.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.65
$-21.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$36.11Aug 1, 07:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.48Jul 19, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$0.99Jul 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 10 countries in 2026?$35.40Jul 19, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $42.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.