Shiny-Extreme-Gray
0x72c410b658fd82a827f4b2e6fcbcbe1c4508a25c
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$15.49
Total PnL
$-7.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$1.10
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.20
$-0.80
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
508 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$1.017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $1.0414h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$2.1015h ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.0615h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$3.001d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.081d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$6.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
