Electric-Architect
0x72f7b4aa5acaff9629917cf4ec34620a41c492f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$25.6K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$312.65
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8223 shares @ 65.0¢·now 75.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.2K
$855.95
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4162 shares @ 9.1¢·now 85.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$3.2K
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6172 shares @ 63.8¢·now 54.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.3K
$-602.36
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5500 shares @ 32.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$-87.47
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6923 shares @ 23.1¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.7K
$61.99
- NO
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
4956 shares @ 10.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$1.4K
$918.69
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$989.99
$-330.00
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$988.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
1169 shares @ 53.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$852.87
$225.02
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
800 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$799.58
$275.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$199.79Jul 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$30.05Jul 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$116.45Jul 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.31Jul 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.49Jul 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$11.65Jul 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.16Jul 28, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.16Jul 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.16Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$553.41Jul 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.1KJul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$78.71Jul 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$2.01Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$0.15Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$1.44Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$12.78Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$3.60Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$7.30Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$7.40Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$8.00Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
$5.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $142.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.