Incomplete-Zoology
0x735624871b12075b0c5dff3820b96b7246b00b03
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$374.17
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7877 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.80
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
6417 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-285.28
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
6053 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
3219 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.73
- YES
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
2002 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$3.05Jun 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?$0.85Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.73Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?$0.31Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.30Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.27Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$0.15Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$8.15Jun 20, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$6.41Jun 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$10.18Jun 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$10.29Jun 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$5.15Jun 16, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$2.57Jun 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$5.14Jun 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$10.30Jun 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$5.13Jun 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$5.14Jun 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$5.14Jun 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.22Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$17.65Jun 12, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.