Specific-Dramaturge
0x7379b58f6bb23a170f4e8211c6908ad05d382745
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$20.37
Total PnL
$-0.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
3 shares @ 77.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.57
$0.57
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?
1 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
1 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Feb 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Jan 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 19, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.00Dec 29, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$1.00Dec 23, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?$1.00Dec 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Nov 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$1.00Nov 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Nov 10, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Nov 4, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Oct 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ja'Marr Chase be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?$1.00Oct 21, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.50 on October 13?$1.00Oct 13, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$1.14Oct 7, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.28Oct 7, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Qarabag win on 2025-08-12?$1.32Oct 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Oct 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?$1.00Sep 22, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.