Serious-Meadow
0x746819833820610b55a4108fcf998632b8ae3d24
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$172.90
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
197 shares @ 14.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$76.52
$48.98
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 32.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.77
$26.71
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
68 shares @ 33.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.39
$0.38
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
213 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.21
$-16.83
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1438 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-77.60
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
1372 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
1258 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?
1095 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
950 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-69.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
645 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-61.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$15.92Jun 10, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12.61Jun 9, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$99.58Jun 8, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$9.15Jun 4, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?$11.23Jun 3, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$120.84Jun 3, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$12.61Jun 3, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?$13.27Jun 3, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$10.02Jun 3, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$24.17Jun 3, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$8.81Jun 3, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?$5.39Jun 2, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$5.65Jun 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$5.93Jun 2, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$5.38Jun 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$5.48Jun 2, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$5.26Jun 2, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.38Jun 2, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$5.26Jun 2, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$6.40Jun 2, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.