Doting-Stupidity
0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$170.50
Total PnL
$-36.85
Realised
$4.28
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$20.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
23 shares @ 46.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.09
$8.51
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
68 shares @ 21.9¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.36
$2.36
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
24 shares @ 65.0¢·now 54.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.14
$-2.46
- YES
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
49 shares @ 39.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$12.98
$-6.47
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.30
$2.10
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.63
$-3.38
- YES
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
44 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.56
$-5.72
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
27 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.13
$-0.13
- NO
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
36 shares @ 27.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$8.82
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.52May 15, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.53May 15, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.74May 15, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.34May 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.30May 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.30May 14, 16:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$1.77May 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$0.39May 13, 02:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$0.88May 12, 19:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$8.50May 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$16.00May 11, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$4.24May 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.07May 10, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$6.93May 10, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".