Doting-Stupidity
0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$369.27
Total PnL
$-563.92
Realised
$24.10
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
85 shares @ 43.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$58.23
$21.56
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
72 shares @ 49.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$54.36
$18.46
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
73 shares @ 41.6¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$46.70
$16.33
- NO
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
60 shares @ 32.2¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$30.90
$11.55
- NO
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
100 shares @ 26.6¢·now 26.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$26.05
$-0.51
- YES
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
115 shares @ 20.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$22.43
$-1.61
- YES
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
80 shares @ 11.6¢·now 26.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$21.10
$11.80
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
75 shares @ 23.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.64
$1.16
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
68 shares @ 21.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.46
$3.46
- NO
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
69 shares @ 21.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$13.39
$-1.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3.60Jul 29, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$2.16Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$7.06Jul 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$6.00Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$24.50Jul 28, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$0.75Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$7.50Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$18.15Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$7.00Jul 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$0.04Jul 28, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?$1.82Jul 27, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?$1.24Jul 27, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$10.24Jul 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?$6.50Jul 27, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$19.87Jul 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$7.21Jul 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$6.27Jul 27, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$7.44Jul 27, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.