Improbable-Pepper
0x74c09a4c8e5cc4d45c4321b89571075840fea4de
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$124.27
Total PnL
$-208.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
71 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$71.02
$0.14
- KILIAN FELDBAUSCH
Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Kilian Feldbausch
15 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.69
$5.73
- NO
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$13.11
$0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.72
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 30?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$12.72
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?
1309 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 22?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?
979 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?
951 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$70.89May 31, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKosice: Martin Krumich vs Kilian Feldbausch$9.06May 31, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs$11.93May 31, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$68.03May 31, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$67.90May 30, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$66.92May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$67.00May 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs$6.89May 30, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$13.10May 30, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 25 2026?$87.97May 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 25 2026?$87.88May 29, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 30?$12.70May 29, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$100.59May 29, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$100.50May 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.70May 28, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals$13.75May 28, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$99.44May 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$99.35May 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals$6.70May 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$105.88May 27, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $81.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.