Impractical-Fourths
0x74f56ca6c0e6831a778681a951cc697672cccc13
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-808.07
Realised
$27.71
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
2025 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.71
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
624 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
536 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
341 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
219 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
157 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
154 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
150 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.07May 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$1.04May 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$1.05May 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$2.00May 18, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.38May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$6.30May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$27.23May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.59May 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$0.95May 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.60May 16, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$12.67May 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$13.75May 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.98May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.63May 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$4.59May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$4.20May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$9.05May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$12.14May 11, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.