Harmless-Chrysalis
0x75524c146510a48f3088f671e925aad532a5a676
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$893.26
Total PnL
$-2.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?
502 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$498.80
$-1.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$102.71
$2.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?
101 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$100.80
$0.71
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
104 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$98.80
$-1.20
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
111 shares @ 31.6¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$32.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
120 shares @ 16.7¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$23.71
$3.71
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.87
$-3.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.10
$0.40
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?$8.764h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$100.144h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$1.964h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?$2.064h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?$500.0810h ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$100.2010h ago
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$304.2611h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$300.1312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$100.1619h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.4419h ago
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$303.0319h ago
- REDEEMParis: Shuai Zhang vs Himeno Sakatsume$12.3522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$300.151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.521d ago
- TRADEBUYParis: Shuai Zhang vs Himeno Sakatsume$10.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?$1.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$1.041d ago
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$21.051d ago
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$20.031d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $79.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
