Fickle-Lute
0x756e3fbe6a5709942b4922cefbaad1a10f44fe0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$161.32
Total PnL
$-982.50
Realised
$-8.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$40.57
$10.56
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 71.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.12
$24.12
- YES
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.56
$15.56
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$25.13
$10.13
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.42
$4.42
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.59
$0.59
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$5.89
$0.90
- NO
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.88
$-2.13
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
1750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-2.63
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
35 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-9.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$25.80Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$125.00May 27, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.27May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.01May 12, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$28.45May 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGolden Knights vs. Ducks$2.3KMay 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$2.2KMay 11, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?$184.41May 11, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$166.67May 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$101.20May 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?$151.21May 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?$4.33May 10, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Baltimore Orioles$15.98May 10, 02:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$171.53May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$27.97May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$15.98May 10, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$49.95May 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$14.98May 10, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$9.99May 10, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $391.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.