Immaterial-Semicircle
0x7605e370b9a4719bef7b60e3918c1c64642c4ec0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$98.32
Total PnL
$-38.53
Realised
$1.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
49 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
26 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$25.34
$-0.28
- NO
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?
17 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$17.13
$0.72
- NO
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
8 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$7.92
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
42 shares @ 94.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$68.87Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$7.81Jul 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?$18.73Jul 24, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$48.79Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?$5.91Jul 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$20.11Jul 23, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?$48.01Jul 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?$40.17Jul 19, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$40.00Jul 19, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$12.97Jul 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$6.38Jul 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$7.41Jul 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?$40.00Jul 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$40.00Jul 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.05Jun 30, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$4.83Jun 29, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$9.05Jun 23, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$40.19Jun 22, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$40.06Jun 20, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$39.99Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $23.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.