Wan-Fusarium
0x76234faa399ad8a753f8d33f5e28703eeeb46cb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-242.03
Realised
$27.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
833 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$824.19
$24.19
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
400 shares @ 79.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.00
$-88.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$168.00
$70.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 65.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$130.70
$22.70
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$95.35
$20.35
- YES
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
100 shares @ 79.6¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$92.90
$13.32
- NO
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
142 shares @ 57.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$74.76
$-6.41
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
325 shares @ 33.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.42
$-49.58
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 19.6¢·now 42.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.15
$22.55
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?$66.64Jul 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?$31.36Jul 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.65Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.39Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$80.23Jul 15, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$4.27Jul 14, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$35.00Jul 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$20.80Jul 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$6.93Jul 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.98Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.46Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.52Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.64Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$100.00Jul 8, 02:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$2.65Jul 7, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.27Jul 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$167.65Jul 7, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$78.00Jul 7, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $44.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.