0x76b128c63d94d0ff563a5ef0ab90b9e8b571f2e9
0x76b128c63d94d0ff563a5ef0ab90b9e8b571f2e9
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$46.97
Total PnL
$-20.67
Realised
$-11.00
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
8 shares @ 76.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
4 shares @ 54.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
3 shares @ 71.4¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$10.117h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?$1.0412h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0312h ago
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.0014h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$10.1314h ago
- REDEEMSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 23.5$25.566d ago
- REDEEMSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5$29.496d ago
- REDEEMSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5$34.416d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 23.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 23.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 23.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYSwiatek vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5$1.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".