Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings
0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$24.4K
Total PnL
$912.84
Realised
$271.78
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
7998 shares @ 78.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$462.79
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8048 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.1K
$-288.39
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
9532 shares @ 19.3¢·now 26.3¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.5K
$663.44
- NO
Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?
2125 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.1K
$40.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2537 shares @ 78.9¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.9K
$-134.08
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
7997 shares @ 17.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.1K
$-291.79
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
1334 shares @ 64.2¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$197.26
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
1142 shares @ 71.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$827.13
$10.42
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: July
1913 shares @ 18.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$535.51
$178.22
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
642 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$433.22
$9.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$14.07Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$13.88Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$30.55Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.67Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.24Jul 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$43.13Jul 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.58Jul 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$7.30Jul 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.19Jul 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$14.60Jul 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$8.78Jul 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$4.59Jul 23, 18:11 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$300.00Jul 23, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$92.47Jul 23, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: July$32.52Jul 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$3.30Jul 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$1.65Jul 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$63.36Jul 23, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$169.28Jul 23, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.70Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.