Knotty-Greatgrandmother
0x770f909ab71932a00b627bfe065cd3d64595c869
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.70
Total PnL
$0.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 51.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.89
$1.39
- NO
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.32
$1.32
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.60
$0.10
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will "In the Grey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will "In the Grey" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.54May 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.05May 16, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.03May 16, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$1.03May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.51May 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$1.00May 16, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".