UnclassifiedExpires May 18, 2026
Creator

Will "In the Grey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-14.2pp

24h Vol

$70.55

Liquidity

$529.18

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

PINNED NO

Reason

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 18, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source

Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.

Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires May 18, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-30.7pp 7d
1007550250
1¢
May 10, 2026, 00:00 UTCMay 16, 2026, 23:20 UTC
updated 23:20:59 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-16T23-20Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Expires in 25h. No explicit resolution source listed.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $529 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • May 18, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 24.7h

    HIGH
  • 23:20Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 25h. No explicit resolution source listed.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-14.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -25.8pp at 15:00 (to 1¢).

Show top 8 of 69 hourly moves
  • 23:00 · -25.7pp → 1¢
  • 21:00 · -25.7pp → 1¢
  • 20:00 · -25.8pp → 1¢
  • 19:00 · -25.8pp → 1¢
  • 17:00 · -25.8pp → 1¢
  • 15:00 · -25.8pp → 1¢
  • 13:00 · -25.7pp → 1¢
  • 11:00 · -25.7pp → 1¢
updated 23:20:59 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 23:20:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same event"In the Grey" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for In the Grey (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on May 18, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Why this category?

confidence: low

Category

Other

Source

Default fallback

Reason

No override, sports marker, rule, or upstream hint matched. Market is unclassified — the keyword rules need an entry for this topic.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will "In the Grey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?"?

As of Sat, 16 May 2026 23:20:59 GMT, YES is priced at 1% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -14.2pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and -30.7pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 18, 2026 (2026-05-18T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$70.55 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $378.06. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $529.18. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.4¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

12 wallets
Open on Polymarket