Basic-Outset
0x774cc57ac9c73d056939d94759f290ffd9aa40f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$983.35
Total PnL
$72.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
499 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$281.90
$2.22
- NO
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
277 shares @ 74.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$190.97
$-13.99
- YES
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
223 shares @ 47.6¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$135.99
$29.83
- NO
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
216 shares @ 49.9¢·now 60.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$129.70
$21.83
- YES
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
154 shares @ 47.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$90.07
$17.48
- NO
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
90 shares @ 42.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$38.34
$0.43
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?
139 shares @ 24.4¢·now 24.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$33.40
$-0.58
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?
88 shares @ 21.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$23.22
$4.47
- YES
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
34 shares @ 15.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$15.09
$9.94
- NO
Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
25 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$12.39
$-1.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$19.09May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?$3.00May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?$0.21May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?$8.59May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?$9.00May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?$2.98May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$15.00May 16, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$13.59May 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$2.32May 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$30.00May 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.95May 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$4.09May 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$6.11May 14, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$7.51May 14, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$13.75May 14, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$12.60May 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$1.64May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$45.00May 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$24.75May 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$14.40May 14, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".