0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779
0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$158.65
Total PnL
$-214.85
Realised
$0.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
8645 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$60.52
$-82.28
- YES
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 10.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.10
$8.10
- YES
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
155 shares @ 3.8¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.50
$9.54
- YES
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?
42 shares @ 20.3¢·now 20.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.74
$0.11
- YES
Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
22 shares @ 58.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.47
$-4.49
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$-12.25
- YES
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1111 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.67
$0.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
111 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
222 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$-3.69
- YES
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
24 shares @ 9.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.24
$2.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.37Jun 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.22Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jun 11, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$15.00Jun 7, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$0.00Jun 7, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$0.00Jun 7, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$46.13Jun 6, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$3.03Jun 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.17Jun 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.67Jun 3, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$14.00Jun 3, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.00Jun 3, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Jun 1, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMJulius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5$0.00Jun 1, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Jun 1, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMVictor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 1, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00Jun 1, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.