Great-Lad
0x77615d5b37b0bffc66e78a6326d64db270c6af5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$38.45
Total PnL
$-9.03
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
21 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.62
$11.96
- YES
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.22
$5.48
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.82
$-1.18
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-1.88
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
56 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m by December 31?$10.00Apr 5, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.53Apr 5, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$2.97Apr 5, 10:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.91Mar 21, 17:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.00Mar 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$15.00Mar 15, 16:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 12, 20:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$1.00Mar 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$1.00Mar 11, 21:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.