Red-Plover
0x78081e8cd322acf2485f65c89c6ecd71c5b7d645
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$78.40
Total PnL
$-211.42
Realised
$6.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.09
$15.09
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
74 shares @ 33.8¢·now 18.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$13.32
$-11.68
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
144 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.86
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?
99 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?
43 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$48.75May 28, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 28, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$50.00May 28, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$180.76May 28, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$22.41Apr 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$22.41Apr 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$74.45Mar 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$74.45Mar 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$67.82Mar 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$67.81Mar 27, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$62.47Mar 17, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$50.00Mar 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$18.50Mar 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$15.90Mar 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Mar 11, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$100.00Mar 8, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$20.00Mar 8, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $39.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".