Lumbering-Heir
0x78419635bb7d3ea621ef0021a01e2feb9a709ec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$106.04
Total PnL
$-238.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
54 shares @ 34.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.74
$27.22
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
41 shares @ 32.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.91
$16.59
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
53 shares @ 37.5¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.25
$8.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 5?
51 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$2.07
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 4?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 4?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.03
$-5.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 13?
572 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 12?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- ALABAMA
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- MICHIGAN
Michigan vs. Texas
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 5?$2.62Jun 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 4?$6.27Jun 4, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 4?$2.10Jun 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3?$11.98Jun 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 4?$5.74Jun 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on June 3?$2.10Jun 3, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 3?$7.30Jun 3, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on June 3?$3.14Jun 3, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$192.00Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.20May 1, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$16.01Apr 24, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.33Apr 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$39.60Apr 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$9.99Apr 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$9.99Apr 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$9.99Apr 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.90Apr 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$9.87Apr 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$8.65Apr 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.86Apr 15, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".