Frilly-Vintage
0x78582719df3337823574a656dbe799947961ed04
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$30.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
2471 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-991.37
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
2450 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-308.30
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1213 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-501.87
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
975 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-302.25
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
730 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-203.57
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
715 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.01
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
584 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.97
- YES
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
541 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-129.41
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
410 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-154.88
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
130 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-51.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.29May 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$47.15May 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$63.23May 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$82.50May 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$227.50May 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$29.95Apr 21, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.06Apr 21, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$30.00Apr 21, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$8.24Apr 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$18.39Apr 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13.15Apr 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.75Apr 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.04Apr 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.13Apr 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.10Apr 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.04Apr 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.20Apr 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.21Apr 17, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$78.73Apr 17, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$150.00Apr 16, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $72.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.