Square-Itinerary
0x787585d93056275e8d02f32c309673a4d70d0dfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$445.58
Total PnL
$-541.02
Realised
$-36.82
Win rate
22%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- NO
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
39 shares @ 68.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.31
$8.92
- YES
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
27 shares @ 40.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$27.14
$16.06
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
53 shares @ 59.7¢·now 40.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$21.31
$-10.06
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
54 shares @ 34.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.20
$1.52
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
23 shares @ 83.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.84
$0.87
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 60.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.06
$1.32
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.91
$0.91
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
27 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.90
$-0.68
- NO
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 88.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.74
$0.65
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
14 shares @ 70.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.46
$2.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$36.80Aug 13, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$0.00Aug 13, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$65.63Aug 13, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?$18.96Aug 12, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$6.19Aug 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$6.01Aug 12, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$0.78Aug 12, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$0.24Aug 12, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$6.06Aug 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$0.52Aug 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$6.01Aug 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$1.06Aug 12, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$6.03Aug 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$4.67Aug 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$14.52Aug 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?$2.06Aug 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$11.12Aug 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$3.23Aug 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$0.30Aug 12, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
36 closed markets, 22% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.