Agitated-Trillion
0x78b534fcb4d25057c52080f30fb42d421ac181d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$21.39
Total PnL
$0.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Feb 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?$1.00Feb 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Jan 28, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 22, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 6, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Dec 25, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?$1.00Dec 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?$1.00Dec 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$1.00Nov 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?$1.00Nov 20, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Nov 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Nov 6, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.00Oct 30, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Oct 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$1.10Oct 10, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.11Oct 10, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.16Oct 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 25, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".