Even-University
0x78c66755790cce49927ed6269b70ef4354654710
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$407.2K
Total PnL
$-651.2K
Realised
$49.0K
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$249.4K
$875.00
- NO
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
153765 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$153.1K
$337.36
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
111913 shares @ 13.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$-10.8K
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
1428 shares @ 35.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$264.15
$-249.15
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1824 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.04
$-234.59
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.9K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600003 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-125.5K
- YES
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
565497 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
443922 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-110.7K
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
363783 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-103.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$36.21Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$36.24Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$36.25Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$36.27Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$36.18Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$36.22Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$36.17Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$36.15Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$36.14Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$36.13Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$53.85Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$56.89Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$56.73Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$56.38Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$56.68Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$53.62Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.1KJul 9, 21:15 UTC
- YIELD$53.60Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$53.69Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$53.75Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$48.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 24, 09:50 UTC → Jul 1, 17:43 UTC
- BUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$11.7K@18¢Jun 27, 16:05 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$11.7K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
$28.1K · 58% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.