Wallet profile

Even-University

0x78c66755790cce49927ed6269b70ef4354654710

activity 69/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

69/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

35

Open notional

$407.1K

Total PnL

$-651.4K

Realised

$49.0K

Win rate

40%

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Recent activity

  • YIELD$36.21Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$36.24Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$36.25Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$36.27Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$36.18Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
  • YIELD$36.22Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$36.17Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$36.15Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$36.14Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$36.13Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
  • YIELD$53.85Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$56.89Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$56.73Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$56.38Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$56.68Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$53.62Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
  • TAKER_REBATE$1.1KJul 9, 21:15 UTC
  • YIELD$53.60Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$53.69Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
  • YIELD$53.75Jul 7, 00:14 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$48.5K

Trades

1

Buy share

100%

Window

Jun 24, 09:50 UTC → Jul 1, 17:43 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $11.7K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

12/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

40% win rate over 5 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record
review

5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Profile dimensions

Activity63 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk84 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
21
Avg trade size
$4.1K
Top category
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 1, 14:57 UTC
Last active
Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
Win rate sample
5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

updated 06:24:30 UTC·src:Polymarket Data