Uneven-Loop
0x798851da68f9869701871c3aa985bca323dc2cee
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$26.60
Total PnL
$-418.88
Realised
$8.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.60
$1.40
- NO
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
2300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will The Last of Us: Part II Remastered win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
178 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?
120 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
110 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.50
- YES
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
104 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
80 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-22.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.00Jun 8, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.40Jun 7, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.26May 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$17.65May 8, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$0.54May 8, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$2.60May 8, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.92May 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.44May 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$25.20May 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.14May 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$29.43May 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$5.68May 7, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$1.09May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$11.23May 7, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$7.12May 7, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$9.50May 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.70May 6, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.37May 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.72May 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.80May 6, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.