Black-Woodshed
0x79c1d4e4ab909ed1022022cec60b9e959b7f497d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$23.30
Realised
$369.78
Win rate
67%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
555 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$517.54
$-4.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
223 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.61
$7.80
- NO
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
199 shares @ 51.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.54
$57.12
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?
116 shares @ 65.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$107.08
$30.86
- NO
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 71.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.21
$14.96
- YES
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 48.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.14
$2.56
- NO
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?
46 shares @ 62.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.17
$9.66
- YES
Remote IPO before 2027?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.00
$10.00
- YES
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
158 shares @ 47.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.47
$-42.76
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
182 shares @ 36.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.43
$-40.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.92Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $4.92Jul 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?$2.50Jul 1, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.38Jun 24, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$203.54Jun 16, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMKalshi stops offering sports event contracts in Massachusetts by Jan 31?$0.02Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$0.02Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$0.03Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of January?$0.00Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
74/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
58 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $203.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.