Guilty-Placebo
0x7a54c8a8fbe28b762ce91cf6c9ac4b72cd5a2446
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$685.90
Total PnL
$-476.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.36
$11.36
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
126 shares @ 39.7¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.87
$26.87
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
63 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.35
$13.35
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.52
$9.52
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.24
$3.24
- NO
New Half-Life game by June 30?
57 shares @ 87.4¢·now 89.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.31
$1.31
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
54 shares @ 92.4¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
35 shares @ 86.4¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.21
$1.21
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$26.82
$6.97
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.82
$5.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$20.33May 29, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$51.52May 29, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$50.53May 19, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Half-Life game by June 30?$50.25May 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$50.00May 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$100.00May 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?$10.00Apr 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?$10.00Apr 20, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.