0x7a6c46965b59f485ffe1fab6b1f359b2aadf5048
0x7a6c46965b59f485ffe1fab6b1f359b2aadf5048
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.0K
Total PnL
$-382.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
5650 shares @ 87.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$256.79
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4024 shares @ 84.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$72.36
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
1849 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$124.95
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2674 shares @ 70.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-582.92
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1149 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$86.21
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
633 shares @ 78.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$153.46
$-339.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.59Jul 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.79Jul 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$45.01Jul 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$187.83Jul 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$253.95Jul 27, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$500.75Jul 27, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.0KJul 20, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJul 20, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$590.16Jul 20, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$364.82Jul 20, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.9KJul 12, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$1.3KJul 12, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$606.69Jul 12, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$543.43Jul 6, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$543.39Jul 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$460.92Jul 1, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$471.50Jul 1, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$932.34Jul 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$1.0KJul 1, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.0KJul 1, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $811.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.