Decimal-Cattle
0x7b280dc6e9d5a543ca222dc84dd21aa76c6dde0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$41.19
Total PnL
$-111.09
Realised
$-0.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$12.08
$2.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
42 shares @ 5.5¢·now 23.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.57
$7.29
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
24 shares @ 4.9¢·now 22.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.55
$4.35
- YES
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?
27 shares @ 4.4¢·now 13.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$2.41
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 6.2¢·now 11.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$0.96
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.80
$0.75
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.29
- YES
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
5 shares @ 20.8¢·now 25.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.27
$0.22
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.26
$0.22
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.3¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$12.30Jul 20, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.07Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.56Jul 20, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 18?$12.30Jul 19, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on July 15?$11.80Jul 19, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.14Jul 19, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)$2.08Jul 18, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 18?$12.12Jul 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.05Jul 18, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$12.15Jul 18, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$12.15Jul 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)$1.05Jul 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$1.39Jul 18, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nacho Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?$10.12Jul 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?$1.25Jul 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.04Jul 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.26Jul 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?$10.05Jul 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 18?$10.05Jul 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?$8.31Jul 17, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.