Snarling-Veil
0x7b9880dde3f651e410710c83373ab11c109e5cfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.3K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-141.63
Win rate
69%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
7369 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.2K
$68.31
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5165 shares @ 89.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$265.68
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2222 shares @ 86.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.2K
$243.31
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
1360 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$20.70
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2222 shares @ 49.1¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$16.67
- NO
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
1035 shares @ 92.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$978.48
$24.32
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
671 shares @ 90.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$641.22
$36.05
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
444 shares @ 96.6¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$382.95
$-45.95
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
333 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$320.53
$0.83
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
444 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$219.78
$6.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$44.40Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$8.47Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$8.05Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Andorra win the UEFA EURO 2028?$30.00Jul 26, 06:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.80Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.54Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$2.62Jul 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$9.59Jul 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?$85.47Jul 24, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.48Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.92Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win the UEFA EURO 2028?$0.03Jul 22, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andorra win the UEFA EURO 2028?$0.03Jul 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andorra win the UEFA EURO 2028?$0.01Jul 22, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
74 closed markets, 69% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $112.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.