Quick-Witted-Cook
0x7be42b643002a97434f4666ea145784bc7798477
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$51.64
Realised
$270.20
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
2290 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.22
$-12.16
- YES
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
1704 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.35
$-39.52
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23367 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$105.15
$11.68
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
700 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$101.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
9446 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$51.95
$-4.72
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.18
$0.18
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.69
$-0.30
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 94.3¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.68
$-3.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?
48 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$39.92
$0.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$39.20Aug 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$3.15Aug 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?$1.00Aug 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$2.55Aug 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?$50.00Aug 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?$49.99Aug 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?$49.77Aug 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$2.47Aug 12, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$1.00Aug 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$1.00Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$1.00Aug 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$1.00Aug 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.61Aug 12, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$11.24Aug 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.94Aug 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?$4.49Aug 12, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?$0.16Aug 12, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Aug 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$4.80Aug 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$0.26Aug 12, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.